Buy Alibaba Stock in Australia – How To Buy BABA Shares in 2020

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5 Chinese Stocks to Buy for the Second Half 2020 Rebound

Chinese stocks are positioned to rally big in 2020 once coronavirus fears subside

[Editor’s Note: “5 Chinese Stocks to Buy for the Second Half 2020 Rebound”was originally published in December 2020. It is regularly updated to include the most relevant information.]

The bull thesis on Chinese stocks going into 2020 was surprisingly simple and compelling. You had easing trade tensions, stabilizing geopolitical relations, ample fiscal stimulus from the People’s Bank of China, a rebounding manufacturing sector, and similarly rebounding consumer spending trends. Everything looked good for a big rebound in Chinese stocks.

Then, the coronavirus outbreak happened.

Tens of thousands of individuals in mainland China fell ill to a new, rapidly spreading novel coronavirus strain dubbed Covid-19. A few thousand infected patients died. Daily life in China came to a screeching halt. So did the 2020 rebound in China’s economy and Chinese stocks.

But, the coronavirus moves fast. Just as quickly as it burst onto the scene in China in late January, it has faded in early April, with new daily cases approaching near-zero.

In other words, while the rest of the world is fighting an escalating Covid-19 problem, China has all but halted the spread of the virus in its own country. Daily life in China is consequently returning to normal, and the Chinese economy is expected to rebound in the second quarter.

All of this is to say that the big surge in Chinese stocks that was supposed to happen in early 2020, is now set to happen in summer 2020.

With that in mind, here are the best Chinese stocks to buy for this big second-half 2020 rebound:

Chinese Stocks to Buy for 2020: Alibaba (BABA)

The best Chinese stock to buy for a second-half rebound is Chinese e-commerce and cloud giant Alibaba.

Yes, retail sales in China were whacked in the first two months of the year, dropping 20% year-over-year. But, online retail sales were down only 3% in January and February. That’s not that big of a drop, and it implies that the coronavirus headwind for Alibaba wasn’t all that big.

Perhaps more importantly, the coronavirus headwind now appears to be largely behind the country. Retail sales trend should bounce back. Online retail sales growth will return to its 15%-plus mark. Alibaba’s e-commerce business will get back on track.

On the cloud side of things, the coronavirus pandemic has actually boosted enterprise cloud demand in China, as companies have rushed to migrate their services online. Alibaba is the unparalleled leader in this market. Therefore, it seems like Alibaba’s cloud business both weathered the coronavirus storm, and is well-positioned to accelerate demand over the next few quarters.

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Overall, Alibaba is positioned to get back to growing at a robust pace over the next few months. As the company does, BABA stock — which trades at a relatively cheap 24-times forward earnings multiple — will rebound. (JD)

Much like Alibaba, Chinese e-commerce company appears well positioned for a big second-half rebound.

Even though consumer spending trends in China got whacked in the first two months of the year, JD.Com management said in early March that they still expect the company’s revenues to grow by 10% or more in the first quarter of 2020. That’s pretty impressive.

More importantly, JD reported 27% revenue growth in the fourth quarter of 2020, before Covid-19 impacted consumer spending trends. In the second quarter of 2020, Chinese consumer spending trends will likely rebound close to their fourth quarter levels, in the absence of the coronavirus outbreak. If so, that means JD is on track to report 10%-plus growth in Q1, and then get back to 20%-plus growth in Q2, Q3, and Q4.

This revenue growth rebound — coupled with sustained robust margin expansion — should spark a huge profit growth reversal in the back-half of 2020, the likes of which will probably send JD stock to new 2020 highs.

Luckin Coffee (LK)

Often labeled as the Starbucks of China, retail coffee house operator Luckin Coffee has huge long-term growth potential.

From this perspective, the coronavirus crisis — which has knocked LK stock down by 50% — is creating a compelling long-term buying opportunity.

Luckin operates small coffee houses in China. They started with less than a dozen such stores at the end of 2020. Today, they have over 4,500 coffee houses in China. This robust growth is supported by two tailwinds.

First, there has been a secular pivot among young, urban Chinese consumers from regular tea consumption, to regular coffee consumption. This pivot will continue with significant momentum over the next several years, as young Chinese consumers become increasingly more “Western”.

Second, Luckin has figured out the best way to tap into growing coffee demand, by creating small, asset-light coffee houses that are optimized for mobile ordering and quick service, and feature the lowest prices in the industry.

Because both of these tailwinds project to remain vigorous for the next few years, Luckin Coffee projects to keep growing at a robust pace for the next few years, too. That big growth should sustain strong gains in LK stock… once coronavirus headwinds pass (and it appears they will fully pass in China soon).

Bilibili (BILI)

The bull thesis on Chinese social video platform Bilibili is pretty simple: this is a big growth company, with minimal Covid-19 exposure, that is set to keep firing on all cylinders in coming quarters.

Bilibili is an online platform. As an online platform, the company actually saw engagement go up during the first two months of the year, when Chinese consumers were cooped up inside. Many of those consumers paid up for Bilibili’s various paid products. As such, as of mid-March, management is guiding for Bilibili to sustain huge revenue growth in Q1, calling for growth of nearly 60% year-over-year.

In other words, the coronavirus had very little impact on Bilibili’s business. Yet, BILI stock has lost a third of its value on coronavirus concerns.

That doesn’t make much sense. The rationale is that sustained coronavirus hysteria will plunge China’s economy into a recession, at which point Bilibili’s users will stop paying up for the platform’s services. But, that thesis doesn’t hold water, considering China is already getting back to normal and putting the coronavirus outbreak behind it.

Big picture — Bilibili will sustain big growth for the rest of the year. As it does, investors will understand that the recent sell-off in BILI stock is overdone. They’ll buy the dip, and shares will rebound.

Vipshop (VIPS)

Last, but not least, on this list of Chinese stocks to buy for the second-half rebound is Chinese online discount retailer Vipshop.

Vipshop has staying power in the Chinese e-commerce market as the de-facto off-price leader. If there is one thing that consumers are always attracted to, it is low prices. Thus, so long as Vipshop can maintain dominance in the off-price channel, the company will forever remain an important part of the Chinese e-commerce landscape.

The Chinese e-commerce landscape fared pretty well during the coronavirus outbreak, with online retail sales only dropping 3% year-over-year in January and February. That growth rate will rebound in March, and even more-so into the summer as pent-up consumer demand turns into robust sales growth.

Ultimately, in coming quarters, Vipshop’s growth trends should improve. As go profits, so go stocks. VIPS stock is no exception. Over the next few quarters, then, reinvigorated profit growth will drive this stock way higher.

Luke Lango is a Markets Analyst for InvestorPlace. He has been professionally analyzing stocks for several years, previously working at various hedge funds and currently running his own investment fund in San Diego. A Caltech graduate, Luke has consistently been recognized as one of the world’s top stock pickers by various other analysts and platforms, and has developed a reputation for leveraging his technology background to identify growth stocks that deliver outstanding returns. Luke is also the founder of Fantastic, a social discovery company backed by an LA-based internet venture firm. As of this writing, he was long JD and LK.

Alibaba Will Be One of This Decade’s Hottest Stocks to Buy

Altaba’s sale of Alibaba shares may be your last good chance to get in

Altaba, formed to unload Yahoo’s stake in Alibaba (NYSE: BABA ), is bringing its remaining shares to market.

It could be your last chance to get in.

That’s why shares in the Chinese cloud giant fell in pre-market trading over the three-day weekend. They opened Jan. 21 at $222.45, down almost 2% from their Friday close. The market capitalization stood just under $600 billion, with a price-to-earnings ratio of 64. It was selling for almost 9 times revenue.

It’s a good time for Altaba to get out, but it could also be a good time for long-term U.S. investors to buy. That’s because the future of Alibaba looks so good you need shades.

The Cloud

While Alibaba is usually compared with Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN ) because of its dominance in Chinese e-commerce, its cloud is even more powerful.

Imagine if Salesforce (NYSE: CRM ) owned Alphabet (NASDAQ: GOOG , NASDAQ: GOOGL ) and PayPal (NASDAQ: PYPL )? That’s Alibaba’s cloud. It doesn’t just sell infrastructure or a platform. It is offering a complete suite of business applications, integrated into China’s commercial mainstream. The company calls this the Alibaba Business Operating System (ABOS).

It’s an irresistible combination in Southeast Asia, where Alibaba is now the second-leading cloud provider. While it’s fourth in the infrastructure and platform markets, that’s not where its power lies. It’s in applications, the top of the cloud stack, where Alibaba is playing best.

Because Alibaba is Chinese, it is able to scale at things American companies can barely attempt. These include artificial intelligence, machine-based manufacturing and machine-to-machine communication. Things that freak out American tech reporters, like self-driving cars or facial recognition, are reality in Alibaba’s home city of Hangzhou.

Alibaba’s cloud expansion stalled a little in 2020, but investment is now picking up again. Cloud operators like Alibaba now represent one-third of all spending on data center hardware and software. It’s why the five U.S. cloud leaders — Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL ), Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT ), Alphabet, Amazon and Facebook (NASDAQ: FB ) — enter 2020 worth about $5.3 trillion.

Global Expansion

The AliExpress digital marketplace and Alipay payment system are camels with noses under the tent of American cloud dominance.

AliExpress is now calling on European brands after gaining some traction with small businesses there. Alibaba became an Olympic sponsor in 2020.

Alipay is getting in through Chinese tourists who make one-third of their purchases with mobile apps. Ant Financial, which remains under the control of Alibaba but is a separate company, is raising money at a valuation of $200 billion.

In the U.S. it’s business-to-business processing that’s the nose under the tent. This is the niche Alibaba began with, in 1999.

The Bottom Line on Alibaba Stock

I have been pounding the table about Alibaba for years. I first bought shares in late 2020. Then I sold for a fat profit early in 2020, and got back in. Now I’m well ahead again.

I have been emphasizing the differences between Alibaba and Amazon throughout that time. Alibaba is well ahead of Amazon in not holding retail inventory, making it the most profitable big company in the world.

Because Alibaba is Chinese, it can do all the innovation in fintech, artificial intelligence and application integration it wants. It doesn’t have to worry about government interference so long as it remains loyal, and it is.

That makes Alibaba a key holding, not just for this year, but for this decade.

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